Cross-impact analysis
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
V.C. An Alternative Approach to Cross Impact Analysis
This paper presents the theoretical justification for the use of a particular analytical relation for calculating inferences from answers to cross impact questions. The similarity of the results to other types of analogous applications (i.e., logic regression, logistic models, and the Fermi-Dirac distribution) is indicated. An example of a cross impact analysis in an interactive computer mode i...
متن کاملQuantitative cross impact analysis with latent semantic indexing
Cross impact analysis (CIA) consists of a set of related methodologies that predict the occurrence probability of a specific event and that also predict the conditional probability of a first event given a second event. The conditional probability can be interpreted as the impact of the second event on the first. Most of the CIA methodologies are qualitative that means the occurrence and condit...
متن کاملScenario construction via Delphi and cross-impact analysis
Article history: Received 3 November 2010 Received in revised form 4 March 2011 Accepted 10 March 2011 Available online 19 April 2011 Since its origins, decision makers have broadly used the Delphi method as a collaborative technique for generating important events and scenarios about what may happen in the future. This is a complexprocessbecauseof thedifferent interrelations and thepotential s...
متن کاملA new fuzzy linguistic approach to qualitative Cross Impact Analysis
Scenario Planning helps explore how the possible futures may look like and establishing plans to deal with them, something essential for any company, institution or country that wants to be competitive in this globalize world. In this context, Cross Impact Analysis is one of the most used methods to study the possible futures or scenarios by identifying the system’s variables and the role they ...
متن کاملValidating Cross-Impact Analysis in Project Risk Management
Companies work increasingly more on projects as a means of executing organizational decisions. However, too many enterprise projects result in failure. Hence, firms should follow a risk management method that drives their projects toward success. Nevertheless, project managers often deal with risks intuitively. This is partly because they lack the proper means to correctly manage the underlying...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Project Appraisal
سال: 1990
ISSN: 0268-8867
DOI: 10.1080/02688867.1990.9726770